{"id":925,"date":"2024-06-05T14:13:12","date_gmt":"2024-06-05T14:13:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?page_id=925"},"modified":"2024-06-05T15:00:05","modified_gmt":"2024-06-05T15:00:05","slug":"chapitre-8-analyse-de-stabilite-et-les-premiers-modeles-keynesiens","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?page_id=925","title":{"rendered":"Chapitre 8 &#8211; Analyse de stabilit\u00e9 et les premiers mod\u00e8les keyn\u00e9siens"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ce chapitre est consacr\u00e9 \u00e0 la r\u00e9ception de la <em>Th\u00e9orie G\u00e9n\u00e9rale<\/em> de Keynes par les macro\u00e9conomistes. La r\u00e9union d&#8217;Oxford de la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 \u00c9conom\u00e9trique constitue un moment d\u00e9cisif dans l&#8217;\u00e9volution de la macro\u00e9conomie. <strong>Trois versions du mod\u00e8le IS-LM<\/strong> sont introduites par trois \u00e9conomistes appel\u00e9s \u00e0 jouer un grand r\u00f4le dans les d\u00e9veloppements ult\u00e9rieurs de la macro\u00e9conomie: Roy Harrod, John Hicks et James Meade, qui s&#8217;efforcent tous de capturer le message de Keynes \u00e0 travers un mod\u00e8le. Parmi eux, seul Meade aborde le probl\u00e8me de<strong> la stabilit\u00e9 de l&#8217;\u00e9quilibre<\/strong>. Contrairement \u00e0 ses coll\u00e8gues de la Soci\u00e9t\u00e9 d&#8217;\u00c9conom\u00e9trie, il pense que ce probl\u00e8me peut \u00eatre trait\u00e9 sur la base<strong> d&#8217;un mod\u00e8le statique<\/strong>, \u00e0 partir duquel des conditions de stabilit\u00e9 peuvent \u00eatre d\u00e9riv\u00e9es.<\/p>\n<p>Frisch, Tinbergen et Kalecki, tous pr\u00e9sents \u00e0 la conf\u00e9rence, critiquent son approche et soulignent la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 de sp\u00e9cifier <strong>un processus d&#8217;ajustement dynamique<\/strong> bas\u00e9 sur des hypoth\u00e8ses \u00e9conomiques pour \u00e9valuer les propri\u00e9t\u00e9s de stabilit\u00e9 d&#8217;un tel mod\u00e8le. N\u00e9anmoins, ils reconnaissent que le mod\u00e8le IS-LM est un puissant outil d&#8217;analyse des <strong>relations macro\u00e9conomiques.<\/strong> Samuelson est l&#8217;un des premiers \u00e0 r\u00e9pondre \u00e0 la critique par la sp\u00e9cification d&#8217;un <strong>m\u00e9canisme dynamique explicite.<\/strong> Ce faisant, il plaide pour l&#8217;\u00e9tablissement d&#8217;un lien entre<strong> l&#8217;analyse de la stabilit\u00e9 et la statique comparative<\/strong>, tandis qu&#8217;un auteur comme Arthur Cecil Pigou (1941) tient \u00e0 les garder s\u00e9par\u00e9s. Pour Samuelson, c&#8217;est seulement \u00e0 cette condition que des \u00ab th\u00e9or\u00e8mes significatifs \u00bb peuvent \u00eatre d\u00e9riv\u00e9s et que les effets de divers chocs sur l&#8217;\u00e9quilibre peuvent \u00eatre appr\u00e9hend\u00e9s.<\/p>\n<h4>Posts dans cette section:<\/h4>\n<p>[chapitre 8 posts]<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"Xt1Ml48Ls3\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?p=573\">Schelling s&rsquo;attaque au dogme de la stabilit\u00e9 de Samuelson<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Schelling s&rsquo;attaque au dogme de la stabilit\u00e9 de Samuelson\u00a0\u00bb &#8212; (In)stabilit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique\" src=\"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?p=573&#038;embed=true#?secret=iyMpvwpqNk#?secret=Xt1Ml48Ls3\" data-secret=\"Xt1Ml48Ls3\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"CKvk63BTxf\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?p=376\">Bridging comparative statics and dynamics in Samuelson\u2019s 1941 IS-LM model<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Bridging comparative statics and dynamics in Samuelson\u2019s 1941 IS-LM model\u00a0\u00bb &#8212; (In)stabilit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique\" src=\"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?p=376&#038;embed=true#?secret=J5v2f1ILKi#?secret=CKvk63BTxf\" data-secret=\"CKvk63BTxf\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"wp-embedded-content\" data-secret=\"YrQZAiA4A9\"><p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?p=276\">Back to the future: Meade meets M.E.A.D.E. in the person of Tinbergen<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><iframe class=\"wp-embedded-content\" sandbox=\"allow-scripts\" security=\"restricted\" style=\"position: absolute; clip: rect(1px, 1px, 1px, 1px);\" title=\"\u00ab\u00a0Back to the future: Meade meets M.E.A.D.E. in the person of Tinbergen\u00a0\u00bb &#8212; (In)stabilit\u00e9 \u00c9conomique\" src=\"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/?p=276&#038;embed=true#?secret=aeqlihCAwL#?secret=YrQZAiA4A9\" data-secret=\"YrQZAiA4A9\" width=\"600\" height=\"338\" frameborder=\"0\" marginwidth=\"0\" marginheight=\"0\" scrolling=\"no\"><\/iframe><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ce chapitre est consacr\u00e9 \u00e0 la r\u00e9ception de la Th\u00e9orie G\u00e9n\u00e9rale de Keynes par les macro\u00e9conomistes. La r\u00e9union d&#8217;Oxford de&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_active":false,"_monsterinsights_sitenote_note":"","_monsterinsights_sitenote_category":0,"ngg_post_thumbnail":0,"footnotes":""},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/925"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=925"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/925\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":941,"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/pages\/925\/revisions\/941"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.economic-instability.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=925"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}